Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006904 0.007715 0.008599 0.009636 0.010825 0.012148 0.013737
2025-05-25 0.005655 0.006764 0.008076 0.009752 0.011854 0.014424 0.017839
2025-06-01 0.004881 0.006101 0.007621 0.009677 0.012419 0.016000 0.021113
2025-06-08 0.004229 0.005467 0.007072 0.009340 0.012518 0.016893 0.023522
2025-06-15 0.003851 0.005126 0.006840 0.009360 0.013048 0.018380 0.026919
2025-06-22 0.003650 0.004993 0.006859 0.009706 0.014055 0.020645 0.031791
2025-06-29 0.003324 0.004648 0.006537 0.009507 0.014203 0.021606 0.034718
2025-07-06 0.003046 0.004342 0.006238 0.009301 0.014300 0.022472 0.037585
2025-07-13 0.002854 0.004147 0.006081 0.009291 0.014698 0.023862 0.041567
2025-07-20 0.002745 0.004064 0.006086 0.009534 0.015534 0.026092 0.047452
2025-07-27 0.002575 0.003873 0.005903 0.009445 0.015779 0.027289 0.051529
2025-08-03 0.002446 0.003736 0.005793 0.009464 0.016212 0.028879 0.056660
2025-08-10 0.002293 0.003556 0.005608 0.009355 0.016430 0.030152 0.061520
2025-08-17 0.002191 0.003454 0.005546 0.009460 0.017074 0.032377 0.069003
2025-08-24 0.002069 0.003307 0.005397 0.009388 0.017358 0.033897 0.075162
2025-08-31 0.001918 0.003101 0.005127 0.009063 0.017095 0.034211 0.078431
2025-09-07 0.001834 0.003004 0.005041 0.009082 0.017538 0.036135 0.086241
2025-09-14 0.001801 0.002995 0.005114 0.009417 0.018688 0.039844 0.099746
2025-09-21 0.001699 0.002855 0.004933 0.009224 0.018665 0.040782 0.105699
2025-09-28 0.001603 0.002721 0.004757 0.009025 0.018604 0.041617 0.111565
2025-10-05 0.001539 0.002641 0.004676 0.009016 0.018976 0.043598 0.121474
2025-10-12 0.001508 0.002621 0.004708 0.009251 0.019949 0.047295 0.137980
2025-10-19 0.001443 0.002531 0.004597 0.009164 0.020136 0.048923 0.148007